It’s been a wild few weeks, capped off by a Kirko Chainz sighting last week. Vegas took a thrashing from the Patriots, while Bills and Rams fans lived their best lives in LV during two more losses. All that led to the Raiders pulling out a close victory over their former starting quarterback, Geno Smith. It came down to the last play.
San Francisco is off a bye week. They also added a familiar foe by bringing DeForest Buckner back. Still, the 49ers’ offense has been surprisingly explosive this year. Even with Mike Evans in and out of the lineup, they’re top 10 in total offense and top five in total scoring. Their red-zone offense is scoring touchdowns on 87% of its trips.
Ultimately, this game is going to come down to the run game. Christian McCaffrey has had his share of standout performances versus the Raiders. The Raiders’ defense is damn near allowing 150 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen, Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford all carved them up recently. Even Geno Smith got his opportunities despite the late pick. Brock Purdy has nowhere near the arm talent of those guys. However, Purdy is excellent at getting the ball out. And any fantasy owner can tell you he’s having a great year, even with a revolving door of receivers.
Further, the Raiders’ run game has been hot and cold. Ashton Jeanty has struggled in his sophomore year, and the Raiders have struggled to mix Mike Washington into the fold consistently week to week. Regardless, they can’t keep leaving points on the board by not scoring in the red zone. Jeanty, Washington, a white RB, doesn’t matter. Just score.
Moreover, Vegas has allowed 11 sacks. They’ll see a consistent pass rush from Nick Bosa, Buckner and a slew of other highly athletic front-seven players. Still, Kirk Cousins is second in the league in passing touchdowns. Expect to see some more Jalen Nailor with Dont’e Thornton still listed as inactive. The 49ers’ secondary has just three interceptions this year. Vegas needs its receivers to step up. Kirk also needs to lean on his tight ends. Brock Bowers had two touchdowns last week, but Fred Warner and company pose a stronger coverage threat against him.
In the end, the Raiders’ offense has been solid. Their defense has been good in spots, horrible in others. Their running game has struggled, and their big plays have been up and down. This is the midpoint of the season where we should really get a better idea of who they are. Their .500 record could really go either way. Now, they’re facing another longtime cross-Bay rival.
What I will say is the Raiders have been good at sticking to the game plan. One week they seemingly exploit Tre Tucker matchups. Next week they’re spamming to Brock Bowers. Credit Klint Kubiak for that.
This week, the Raiders need to continue to find ways to create pressure and generate turnovers. They must limit CMC from making big plays. They must find ways to make big plays themselves and leave no points on the board in the red zone.
Nonetheless, the vibes from Santa Clara look immaculate. The gray fog hangs over the Bay. The Silver and Black regulars are seen all over the San Francisco tailgate, south of the place we once called home. All that starts with great trench play on both sides. Win the trenches and the Raiders got a shot.
If ever there were a day for an upset, today might be the day. F the 9ers!
